Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.184653 0.213511 0.245369 0.283144 0.326718 0.375411 0.433970
2025-10-05 0.144160 0.184403 0.233424 0.297530 0.379183 0.479778 0.613254
2025-10-12 0.121204 0.166235 0.224943 0.307083 0.419114 0.566728 0.776332
2025-10-19 0.104960 0.152396 0.217764 0.314414 0.453804 0.647818 0.938982
2025-10-26 0.091592 0.139720 0.209309 0.317242 0.480622 0.719089 1.094540
2025-11-02 0.079510 0.126778 0.198127 0.313639 0.496232 0.774313 1.231334
2025-11-09 0.068294 0.113391 0.184195 0.303406 0.499456 0.809854 1.340392
2025-11-16 0.062558 0.107830 0.181540 0.310226 0.529746 0.890003 1.528493
2025-11-23 0.056779 0.101360 0.176460 0.312099 0.551544 0.957919 1.703006
2025-11-30 0.052349 0.096591 0.173548 0.317058 0.578708 1.037029 1.904646
2025-12-07 0.046806 0.089118 0.164998 0.310868 0.585103 1.080121 2.046103
2025-12-14 0.042362 0.083111 0.158342 0.307218 0.595411 1.130735 2.206057
2025-12-21 0.039122 0.079081 0.155022 0.309713 0.618019 1.207277 2.425592
2025-12-28 0.037723 0.078499 0.158205 0.325192 0.667557 1.340294 2.770737
2026-01-04 0.035870 0.076757 0.158877 0.335635 0.708045 1.459587 3.101275
2026-01-11 0.033931 0.074595 0.158428 0.343646 0.744274 1.573824 3.433684
2026-01-18 0.031711 0.071560 0.155817 0.346736 0.770339 1.669560 3.737041
2026-01-25 0.029104 0.067363 0.150271 0.342799 0.780653 1.732844 3.976276
2026-02-01 0.026189 0.062131 0.141901 0.331617 0.773567 1.757501 4.131497
2026-02-08 0.024967 0.060662 0.141739 0.339070 0.809569 1.881133 4.526715
2026-02-15 0.023459 0.058343 0.139383 0.341116 0.833136 1.978802 4.871462
2026-02-22 0.022301 0.056732 0.138495 0.346536 0.865244 2.099331 5.283910
2026-03-01 0.020487 0.053289 0.132875 0.339771 0.866887 2.147706 5.524245